The West Asian QUAD and China
It is comprised of four countries: the United States, India, Israel and the United Arab Emirates. The name West Asian QUAD is poorly chosen. In fact, this is an International Forum on Economic Cooperation also known as I2U2. It has American blessings, but no formal declaration. Israel capitalized on the warming of relations with some Arab countries and with American blessings invited India, the great power of the region, to participate also.
See the parallel of US policy of 1950s when US in West Asia and South East Asia created Baghdad Pact, later called Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) and South East Asian Treaty Organization (SEATO). They were military agreements to prevent a Soviet takeover of the countries of West, South and East Asia. Nothing like this happened and John Foster Dulles, the American master of these pacts, died in 1958 and later his ideas were abandoned. The new grouping is purely economic in nature and protects only the economic interests of others. At a time when China is emerging as an economic powerhouse, the economy of each country is the key.
US President Joe Biden in his visit to West Asia this month (July 13-16) will hold a virtual summit and try and formalize the grouping into a bloc of like minded nations. The US is likely to re-emphasize economic co-operation, food security, improve the land & sea communications etc. in the declaration. In this contest, presence of India at any summit is very important. India holds the key to Indian Ocean security from the Suez Canal to Singapore. India's growing strength and ability to monitor the seaways of the Indian Ocean is of the utmost importance. It is only India that will keep control of China's rising naval power and maintain peace in the heavily infected naval piracy region of the east coast of Africa.
Therefore, it is clear that the Chinese will be prevented from dominating Indo-Pacific through the now formalized QUAD. In addition a full co-operation of AUKUS countries (US, UK and Australia) will standby by the QUAD to help out against any Chinese adventurism. India, in full collaboration between QUAD and AUKUS, will keep the Chinese out of the Indian Ocean.
The West Asian QUAD will provide stability and security to the West Asia, which is rife with adventurism and instability. The West Asian QUAD exploits cultural synergy, cooperation, shared values, trade and other economic aspects etc. A formal declaration may come during Joe Biden’s visit, but overall it’s formation enhances India’s position in trade, labor pool and act grand master in cultural matters.
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